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【导读】报告日期:2022年6月28日 ★下半年产能低增速延续,出口环比或有下降 下半年我们预计投产的新增产能仅60万吨/年左右,增速2%。出口在海外高通胀和美联储加息的背景下,环比或有所下降。但海外供应的不稳定性仍值得关注。 ★下半年PVC需求环比或能改善 从政策底到楼市出现实质性改善需要时间。因此虽然当前地产数据仍未有明显改善,但我们认为下半年地产企稳回升的概率…
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